A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • October 23, 2017
  • ECRI


Testing the large chart.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted January 28, 2016

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ECRI October 23, 2017

Testing the large chart.    More

2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.2
Public update:

Apr 08

Member update:

Apr 08


USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.7
Public update:

Apr 01

Member update:

Apr 01

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.7
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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