A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Jun 27 2013

Key Risks for Chinese Economy

With an eye on containing financial risks, Chinese policymakers have again gained market attention as they became somewhat more restrictive with credit in recent days. This has come on the heels of waning economic growth, and some analysts cutting Chinese growth forecasts. Further, with some inflation measures having seemingly cooled, yet property price inflation still strong, many are wondering what lies ahead – bursting property price bubbles or narrowly-averted crises?

Based on our many leading indexes, ECRI’s latest report clearly provides the outlook not only for Chinese economic growth, but also for inflation and property prices in the coming months, indicating how much leeway Chinese policymakers really have.