A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



WLI Rises Again

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a 32-week high in the latest week, while its annualized growth rate rose to a 30-week high, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 128.0 in the week ending Dec. 10 from a revised 127.3 the previous week. The previous week was originally reported at 127.4.

That was the highest since May 7, when it stood at 131.9.

The index's annualized growth rate rose to 0.8 percent from minus 0.1 percent a week earlier. That was the highest since May 21, 2010, when it was 4.9 percent.