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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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WLI Growth Drops Again


A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 43-week low in the latest week, indicating that the pace of economic growth is about to slow, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index fell to 124.1 for the week ended May 28, down from 125.6 in the prior week. The index's annualized growth rate slid to a 50-week low of 0.4 percent from 5.1 percent a week ago.
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