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Uneven Global Recoveries Underway
ECRI's Achuthan talked with CNBC early Friday morning about the U.S. recession ending this summer, the global cyclical outlook for China and other major regions, and prospects for deteriorating U.S. debt ratings.
A Framework That Provides Clarity
During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.
- ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.
- To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.
- The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.