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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. FIG Rises Further


U.S. inflation pressures jumped in September an ECRI report showed on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Future Inflation Gauge rose to 113.3 last month from 109.4 in August, ECRI said.

"The persistent rise in the (index) shows that, even with a subpar economic recovery, U.S. inflationary pressures are in a clear cyclical upswing," ECRI said in its monthly report.

The annualized growth rate, which smoothes out monthly fluctuations, rose to 25.9 percent in September from 19.5 percent in August.
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