A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



U.S. FIG Edges Up

A monthly measure of U.S. inflation pressures rose in September ... a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute's U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (USFIG), designed to anticipate cyclical swings in the rate of inflation, rose to 98.0 in September from 97.3 in August, which was originally reported at 96.7.

"Thus, U.S. inflation pressures are still restrained, but are starting to creep up," ECRI Managing Director Lakshman Achuthan said in a statement.

The USFIG annualized growth rate, which smooths out monthly fluctuations, fell to 1.0 percent from a revised 1.1 percent, originally reported as 0.2 percent.