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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. FIG Continues Rise


Inflationary pressures grew in January as the U.S. economic recovery limped ahead at a modest pace, a report showed on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Future Inflation Gauge, which is designed to anticipate cyclical swings in the rate of inflation, rose to 119.7 last month from a revised 117.2 in December, the research group said.

"Underlying inflation pressures are still on the rise as the economic recovery continues," ECRI said.

The index's annualized growth rate, which smoothes out monthly fluctuations, rose to 23.4 percent in January from 22.2 percent in December.