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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Recession Update


For the past three months, year-over-year real personal income growth has stayed lower than it was at the start of each of the last ten recessions.

Related News & Events

Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?

ECRI May 9, 2012

Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More

 

Is there really no recession?

Yahoo May 9, 2012

ECRI's Achuthan talks with Henry Blodget about ECRI's recession call. More

 

Oslo

ECRI June 4, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Oslo to meet with professional members on June 4, 2012.