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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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More signs of lower interest rates ahead.


Yet one more gauge, produced by the New York based Economic Cycle Research Institute, said that its U.S. future inflation gauge fell again in August after three consecutive monthly declines.