A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Model Forecasts, and to Stimulate or Not

ECRI's Achuthan was on CNN today discussing the CBO's forecast of unemployment declines after a year or two and how stimulus interacts with the business cycle.