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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Why you can't trust the Consumer Price Index and can trust the Future Inflation Gauge... Now it has become almost a game for investors worldwide to pore over every word from Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, in hopes of discerning what he sees in the inflation tea leaves. By looking beyond the CPI, at indicators like the FIG and the Employment Cost Index, you can peer over his shoulder.