A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.




A measure of future U.S. economic growth decreased to an eight-week low in the latest week, and the annualized growth rate also fell, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based  independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index  fell to 125.4 in the week-ended Nov. 9 from 126.1 the previous   week. That was the lowest level since Sept. 14.

The previous week's figure was revised down from 126.2.

The index's annualized growth rate fell to 4.4 percent from  5.0 percent a week earlier, hitting its lowest since Sept. 21, a seven-week low. The previous week's growth rate was revised down from 5.1 percent.


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