A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



U.S. Weekly Leading Index Slips

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) slipped from 130.8 to 130.7, a 64-week low and the lowest since October 11, 2013, when it was 130.1. Its growth rate decreased from -3.9% to a 152-week low of -4.4%, the lowest since February 3, 2012, when it was -4.4%. The decline in WLI growth points to slower overall growth in coming months.

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