A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up

U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in April, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 105.4 from a downwardly revised 103.9 in March, originally reported as 104.0, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"Despite its April uptick, the USFIG remains below its recent high. Thus, U.S. inflation pressures remain reasonably restrained," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.


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Euro zone inflation pressures near three-year low

Economic Times May 3, 2013

The EZFIG declined in its latest reading and is hovering just above January's 35-month low, suggesting that euro zone inflation will weaken further in the coming months. More