Recession Here
It takes time to realize that a recession has already begun.
A Framework That Provides Clarity
During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.
It takes time to realize that a recession has already begun.
The convergence of two cyclical patterns virtually dictates an era of more frequent recessions in developed economies. As a result, and because of the Bullwhip Effect, growth in developing economies is going to be jerked around more than people think, making for a good deal of cyclical economic contagion. In other words, we are now in the yo-yo years.
Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More
The convergence of two cyclical patterns virtually dictates an era of more frequent recessions in developed economies. More
June 20, 2012
Full Report: U.S. Cyclical Outlook