A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks for Mexico and Japan

Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle peak dates for Mexico (Feb. 2012) and Japan (Mar. 2012).

Click here for the complete international growth rate cycle chronology.

Growth rate cycles – alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – occur within business cycles. Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. Using an approach analogous to that used to determine business cycle dates, ECRI has established growth rate cycle chronologies for more than 20 countries.

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New Business Cycle Peaks for Italy and Japan

ECRI May 1, 2013

Today ECRI is announcing new business cycle peak dates for Italy and Japan. More