A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



WLI Growth Virtually Unchanged from 154-wk Low

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) level declined to 130.5. The growth rate was virtually unchanged from last week's 154-week low at -5.0%, the lowest since January 27, 2012, when it was -5.4%. The decline in WLI growth points to slower overall growth in coming months.

Related News & Events

A Bit of a Surprise?

ECRI January 13, 2015

One of 2014's biggest surprises – falling oil prices – is completely consistent with our timely call on global growth. When made last July, that forecast was opposed to the consensus view. More


2-year Lows for Average Hourly Earnings Growth

ECRI January 9, 2015

Average hourly earnings growth rates (year-over-year) drop to two-year lows, the worst readings since the fall of 2012. More