A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Unchanged

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) remains unchanged at 143.9, while its growth rate ticked down from 2.6% to 2.4%. 

To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Reuters

- read ECRI's "China Trade Masks Key U.S. Gains".

- ECRI's presentation 'Turning Points: The Long and Short of It' at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:


Related News & Events

All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation

Bloomberg July 18, 2017

Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More


Monthly U.S. WLI Falls

ECRI July 11, 2017

Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index shows its growth rate falling to 2.9%, a 15-month low. More


Future Inflation Gauge Edges Up

Bond Buyer July 7, 2017

The U.S. FIG edged up in June after having dropped noticeably in May. More


ECRI in Seattle

ECRI July 18, 2017

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be meeting with professional members in Seattle on July 18 - 20.


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