A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



US Future Inflation Gauge Rises

U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in May, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 105.2 from the revised March 104.9 reading, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

The April reading was initially reported as 104.7.

"With the USFIG reaching a 13-month high, underlying inflation pressures have begun to build," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.


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The US seems caught in a Japan-style trap, endlessly masking the effect by stealing a little extra growth from the future with artificial stimulus. More