A Framework That Provides Clarity
During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index slips to 130.2 from 130.9. The growth rate edges down to -1.9% from -1.5%.
To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to watch Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on Real Vision.
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:
Dec. 15, 2015 discussion of the 2016 outlook, including Fed policy, post-GFC developments, and what is cyclical vs. structural in today's economy. More
The USCI year-over-year growth rate slipped to 2.2%, a 24-month low. More
The employment/population ratio – which, unlike the jobless rate, is consistent with stagnant wage growth – may also be overstating job market health. More
January 21, 2016
Full Report: U.S. Essentials
SHARE