A Framework That Provides Clarity
During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up to 133.4 from 132.4. The growth rate ticked down to 0.3% from 0.4%.
To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to read A Two-Speed Economy.
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:
New cycle dates for the U.S., Japan, Germany, Brazil, Switzerland, Austria, Taiwan, New Zealand and South Africa. More
The big developed economies — especially in Europe — are not yet vulnerable to recessionary shocks. More
How long-term growth trends in productivity and hours worked help explain the long-term decline in trend growth ECRI first identified in 2008, pre-Lehman. More
In today's Bloomberg TV interview, ECRI's Achuthan discussed why growth in average hourly earnings data is not the "hopeful sign" for wage earners that it's cracked up to be. More
July 20, 2015
Full Report: U.S. Essentials
July 1, 2015
Full Report: International Focus
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