A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



U.S. WLI Monthly Edges Down

The level of the Weekly Leading Index (monthly) decreased to a 31-month low, the lowest since March 2013, when it was 128.5. The growth rate fell to an eight-month low, the lowest since February 2015, when it was at -4.3%

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Flagging Family Fortunes

ECRI October 27, 2015

The median household income has been falling, but hit a new record high for households headed by the least educated. More


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