U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Up
The level of the monthly WLI ticked up to 134.7 from 134.0.
The growth rate of the monthly WLI increased to 6.4% from 5.6%.
The U.S. economic slowdown is set to continue, as the latest WLI upturn is not sufficiently pronounced, pervasive and persistent – the three P’s – to qualify as a true cyclical upturn. Rather, it partly reflects the run-up in the markets as the early-2016 recession fears among the consensus faded, with the Fed backing off its rate hike plans, the dollar weakening, and some data beating significantly lowered expectations.
To put the economy in perspective please see links below:
- watch Lakshamn Achuthan's recent interview on Reuters.
- read ECRI's "Cyclical Misconceptions Driving Policy Errors".