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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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No, A Global Recession Isn't Imminent


SEE LINK BELOW TO WATCH THE INTERVIEW ON FORBES.

Many were shocked by Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House. Still, there is no need for hysteria. Unfortunately, some people couldn’t contain themselves.

Notably, there have been claims that the result of the vote will be instant economic disaster, not just for the U.S., but for the entire world. Fortunately, things are rarely so simple. When assertions seem extreme, it is often best to ask a level-headed expert. I picked one of the best in the business: Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

He told me that his sophisticated indicators of future economic activity showed zero signs of an imminent recession, either here in the U.S. or anywhere else for that matter.

Watch, listen, and learn in this Forbes video

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Fed Faces Stagflation Lite

ECRI April 13, 2016

With sluggish U.S. economic growth slowing further, and inflation on the rise, the Fed is faced with “stagflation lite.” More

 

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