A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Slips Again

Click here to download the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) data.

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) fell to 141.8 from 143.9. The WLI growth rate declined to a 75-week low of 0.9%, from 1.9% last week.

To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read ECRI's "Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided"

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent Reuters interview.

- read Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji's recent op-ed on Bloomberg

For a closer look at the performance of the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

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ECRI's Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth. More


Jan '17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided

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Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More


Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments

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Finding the Root Cause of Recessions

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