A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Increases

The latest ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) reading increased to 143.3 from 141.8. However, WLI growth decreased to a 77-week low of 0.3%.

To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Seeking Alpha

- read ECRI's "Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided"

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's Reuters interview

For a closer look at the performance of the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed

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ECRI's Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth. More


Q&A On Waning Economic Growth

Seeking Alpha September 8, 2017

U.S. economic growth is now "about as good as it gets." More


Jan '17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided

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Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More


Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments

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Economic growth, which has been ramping up since mid-2016, is now about as good as it gets. More


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