A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



U.S. WLI Edges Down

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edges down to 144.1 from 144.5. The growth rate ticks up to 5.1% from 5.0%.

To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read ECRI's "International Inflation Cycles Sync Up".

- read Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji's article on Bloomberg.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

New Interview with Real Vision

Real Vision TV June 16, 2017

ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Real Vision TV about the 2017 cyclical outlook, and more. More


Turning Points: The Long and Short of It

ECRI June 13, 2017

Here are the key turning points underpinning the economic angst that won't go away. More


ECB's Dilemma

The Daily Telegraph May 25, 2017

Overheated German economy or debt crisis in Italy. More


International Inflation Cycles Sync Up

ECRI May 24, 2017

More synchronized international inflation cycles allow earlier detection of inflation cycle turning points. More


New Growth Rate Cycle Date Determined for the U.S.

ECRI May 23, 2017

New U.S. growth rate cycle trough date. More