A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.
To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.
The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.

News

Weekly Leading Index Rises

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) rose to 147.3 as WLI growth edged up to 2.9% from 2.6%.

For more on the cyclical outlook, please see insights below that includes other forward-looking ECRI data that we've made public:

- download ECRI's "China Data Disappoints, As Expected"

- read ECRI's "Inflation Cycle Locked Into Downturn"

- read ECRI's "Why So Many (in the West) Are Pissed Off"

For a closer look at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below: