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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Inflationary Pressures on the Rise in the Euro Zone

Inflationary pressures in the euro zone have inched up, suggesting prices will rise in the bloc in the coming months, according to an indicator issued on Friday that is designed to predict cyclical trends.

The Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge (EZFIG), a measure of the outlook for inflation published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute, nudged up to 100.2 in July from June's 100.1.

"With the EZFIG edging back up in July towards May's 49-month high, euro zone inflation pressures continue to creep up," said Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI's chief operations officer.

Inflation in the bloc was the same 0.2 percent year-on-year in August as it was in July, against market expectations of a slowdown.

On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut its inflation forecasts to 0.1 percent for this year, 1.1 percent in 2016 and 1.7 percent in 2017.


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