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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Bloomberg Interview on Becoming Japan


ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joing Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss our recession call, and how the U.S. economy is now resembling Japan's "lost decades."

Related News & Events

Becoming Japan (Part 1)

ECRI July 30, 2013

Japan's lost decades showed faster GDP growth than in the U.S. and other major economies in the last five years. More

 

What Wealth Effect?

ECRI May 31, 2013

The latest drop in consumer spending is consistent with the recessionary plunge in yoy U.S. import growth into negative territory. More

 

Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again

ECRI April 26, 2013

Yoy nominal GDP growth at or below 3.7% has been seen only in recessionary contexts. In Q1/2013, it slipped to 3.4% from 3.5% in Q4/2012. More