A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.


What is the best way for a new professional member to get started?

We encourage new members to contact ECRI and schedule an introduction to the information provided via the professional member website. We provide a walk-through of the report library, index downloading, and charting features to help new members gain familiarity with our framework and services.

Our member report archive includes an evergreen section highlighting past reports sections on perennial concerns. For example, this includes the relationship between economic and stock price cycles, corrections, equity risk premia, interest rates commodities, currencies, real estate, and debt cycles.

How are your growth rates calculated?

Professional members please call us at +1 212 557 7788 or +44 207 060 1223 for this information.

Do ECRI principals travel to my area?

Our principals regularly travel throughout the world to visit professional A level members. It is likely that we will visit a location near you. ECRI's headquarters are located in midtown Manhattan, so we also regularly host member meetings.

For a sample listing of where we travel, please see our News & Events.

In what format can I download data?

Members can download index data into an Excel file with one sheet or an Excel file with multiple sheets. These downloads can be done manually or they can be automated.

How do I save a set of indexes I want to download regularly?

Once you log in, look for Download Index Sets on the home page and click Create a new set. You can specify the region, index type, and update timeframe for your index set. After you create an index set, you will be able to quickly access it for download from the home page and Reports & Indexes pages.

What do the different colors of lines represent in ECRI charts?

There is a standard color code used for the line colors in our charts:

Green denotes a leading series.
Blue denotes a coincident series.
Pink denotes a lagging series.
Red denotes a leading price (level or growth) series.
Black denotes a coincident price (level or growth) series.

Grey-shaded areas represent business cycle recessions, or cyclical downswings in the level of a series.
Orange-shaded areas represent growth rate cycle downturns, or cyclical downswings in the growth rate of a series.
Green-shaded areas represent cyclical downswings in a price level series.
Blue-shaded areas represent cyclical downswings in a price growth rate series.

Other colors and shaded areas may be used very occasionally for data that do not fit any of the above descriptions.

ECRI Services

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Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
- The Economist
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
- ECRI Professional Member