A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.


No one speaks with more authority about the
economy's turning points.
Fortune Magazine
This approach works like a charm.
Forbes Magazine
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give
advance warning of each of the past three
recessions; just as impressive, it has never
issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
The Economist
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting
institution in the world.
Sydney Morning Herald
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that
business cycles are back in fashion. The
institute called the last two recessions and the
current recovery months ahead of the pack.
Harvard Business Review
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that
unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
Alan Abelson, Barron's
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been
making pretty bold calls and going against the
conventional wisdom. So far their record has been
one of the most impressive, and has been written
up in the press as well as talked about in policy
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped
us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we
proactively revised our inventory forecasts down
months ago, and that has helped to greatly
minimize the inventory swell and need for
Fortune 100 Company
I have to pay attention to those people and
indicators that have pointed in the right
direction – even when they've gone against
the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such
outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute,
whose various leading indicators actually have
done just that – lead where things were
Randall Forsyth, Barron's
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights
into the business cycle. Those insights form a
key part of our strategic and tactical management
of asset class allocations. We have never been
disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators
suggest is likely to occur next.
ECRI Professional Member
In the opinion littered world of economic
forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply
analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
ECRI Professional Member
ECRI continues to be an important resource in
determining our tactical allocation. For over a
decade their economic cycle forecasts and
detailed research topics have been a critical
part of our decision making process.
ECRI Professional Member
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with
Grant's Interest Rate Observer
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a
private forecasting group with an excellent track
The New York Times
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate
the many twists and turns in the emerging
economic landscape with as much foresight as
possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In
this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices,
specifically designed to predict and navigate
economic turning points, have been an
indispensible tool.
ECRI Professional Member
In March [2009], the month the market scraped
bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding
historical observation… The implication
could not have been clearer that a market rally,
when it started, would be no sucker's affair but
the real McCoy.
Grant's Interest Rate Observer
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of
its recession calls right, while issuing no false
alarms. Oct. 2011
The New York Times
"eerily accurate"
National Public Radio
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of
economic cycles and data is almost as important
to me as your indicators of future cycles.
ECRI Professional Member
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis
ECRI Professional Member
"penetrating analysis"
The New York Times

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+ 44 (207) 060-1223

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The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

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